Culture Polymarket September 28, 2026 Crowd ahead of press
Jack Lowden Back in Spotlight for Next James Bond Role
Next James Bond actor?
Polymarket prices this Jack Lowden at 48%. The market is more confident than the current reporting.
Discussions around who will portray the next James Bond are intensifying, with actor Jack Lowden receiving renewed attention. The star of "Slow Horses" has been publicly endorsed by veteran actor Gary Oldman, adding significant weight to his candidacy. This latest development comes as the search for Daniel Craig's successor continues, keeping the film industry and fans alike on edge. The market for Lowden's potential casting has seen its odds climb over the period it has been tracked, now sitting at 48%, reflecting a modest +5.6 pts shift in the past week.
Background
The role of James Bond has been vacant since Daniel Craig's departure after "No Time To Die" in 2021, sparking widespread speculation about who will take on the iconic 007 mantle. Producers have indicated a desire to reinvent the character for a new generation, leading to a broad field of potential candidates. Jack Lowden has been a recurring name in these conversations due to his rising profile in British cinema and television, particularly for his role in the critically acclaimed series "Slow Horses." The decision on the next Bond actor is expected to be a pivotal moment for the franchise, influencing its direction for years to come.
The precedent
- Daniel Craig's casting as James Bond in 2005 was initially met with skepticism but ultimately proved successful.
- The casting process for a new James Bond typically involves extensive speculation and a lengthy decision-making period.
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- Jack Lowden is a prominent name in discussions for the next James Bond.
- Gary Oldman has publicly endorsed Jack Lowden for the role.
- The search for the next James Bond is a highly anticipated topic in cinema.
Where sources diverge
- A James Bond author has expressed that a 'frontrunner' (unspecified but potentially Lowden) is 'not a convincing' choice, contrasting with industry endorsements.
How outlets frame it
- South China Morning Post: Highlights Gary Oldman's endorsement of Jack Lowden, framing it as a significant tip for the next 007.
- Just Jared: Focuses on comments from Lowden's 'Slow Horses' director regarding his suitability for the Bond role.
- The Independent: Presents a critical perspective from a James Bond author, questioning the suitability of an unnamed 'frontrunner' for the role.
What to watch
The ultimate decision rests with Amazon MGM Studios, who are expected to make an official announcement regarding the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026. Any official word from the studio or a consensus of credible reporting will be the key trigger for resolution. Until then, further endorsements from prominent industry figures or new details about the production timeline could significantly impact public perception and the trajectory of the conversation around candidates like Jack Lowden.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this Jack Lowden at 48%.
24h -10.5 pts 7d +5.6 pts
$1.2M traded · $41.9K in the last day · $200K resting liquidity · $265K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pricing Polymarket 48%
Sources
- The next 007? Slow Horses’ Jack Lowden is Gary Oldman’s tip to be the new James Bond scmp.com
- Jack Lowden as James Bond? Here’s What His ‘Slow Horses’ Director Just Said justjared.com
- Who Will Be the Next James Bond? Here’s Every Actor in the Running robbreport.com
- Jack Lowden: the quiet actor at the center of the loudest question in cinema martincid.com
- James Bond author says 007 frontrunner is ‘not a convincing’ choice for role independent.co.uk
Frequently asked questions
Next James Bond actor?
Polymarket prices this Jack Lowden at 48%. The market is more confident than the current reporting.
What do the sources agree on?
Jack Lowden is a prominent name in discussions for the next James Bond. Gary Oldman has publicly endorsed Jack Lowden for the role. The search for the next James Bond is a highly anticipated topic in cinema.
Where do the sources disagree?
A James Bond author has expressed that a 'frontrunner' (unspecified but potentially Lowden) is 'not a convincing' choice, contrasting with industry endorsements.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.