Topic
Climate and Weather
The Climate and Weather stories the crowd is watching most. Crowdtells reads 3 live Climate and Weather markets on Polymarket and Kalshi as a signal of what matters, then briefs each one with real, cross-source reporting — what's moving now, and where the odds run ahead of the headlines.
What are people predicting in Climate and Weather right now?
The biggest Climate and Weather story the crowd is watching is Hurricane Nolo Threatens Hawaii with Catastrophic Flooding — Kalshi prices this Category 1 or above at 99%. Crowdtells tracks 3 live Climate and Weather markets on Polymarket and Kalshi.
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Hurricane Nolo Threatens Hawaii with Catastrophic Flooding
Hurricane Nolo is currently strengthening as it tracks toward Hawaii, with forecasters warning of "catastrophic and life-threatening" flooding, particularly on the Big Island. The…
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El Niño Intensifies, Threatening Historic Temperature Records
The 2026-27 El Niño season is showing signs of significant intensification, with reports indicating it has already broken daily temperature records and is approaching what could…
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US Summer Smashes Heat Records, Eyes Hottest Year
The summer of 2026 shattered heat records across the United States, with multiple outlets confirming it was the hottest on record for the nation. Colorado, in particular, endured…
Frequently asked questions
What are the top Climate and Weather prediction markets right now?
Hurricane Nolo Threatens Hawaii with Catastrophic Flooding (Category 1 or above 99%); El Niño Intensifies, Threatening Historic Temperature Records (At least 3.0°C 61%); US Summer Smashes Heat Records, Eyes Hottest Year (72% yes)
What is the crowd pricing in Climate and Weather right now?
Kalshi prices this Category 1 or above at 99%.
Where do Climate and Weather prediction markets trade?
Crowdtells tracks Climate and Weather markets on Polymarket and Kalshi — the two largest prediction-market platforms — and briefs each with cross-source reporting. The odds are crowd-implied probabilities, not financial advice.