Topic
Politics
The Politics stories the crowd is watching most. Crowdtells reads 16 live Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi as a signal of what matters, then briefs each one with real, cross-source reporting — what's moving now, and where the odds run ahead of the headlines.
What are people predicting in Politics right now?
The biggest Politics story the crowd is watching is Francesca Hong poised to clinch Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor — Kalshi prices this David Crowley at 62%. Crowdtells tracks 16 live Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi.
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Francesca Hong poised to clinch Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor
Francesca Hong has built a commanding position in Wisconsin's Democratic primary for governor, opening a 29-point lead in polling and dominating an amicable final debate while…
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Darline Graham Nordone jumps into South Carolina Senate race
Darline Graham Nordone, sister of the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, has entered the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, joining a crowded field…
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United Russia Favored to Gain Most Seats in Russian Parliamentary Election
The Russian parliamentary election is set to take place in September 2026, with United Russia, the current ruling party, expected to maintain its dominance. The party has been in…
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Trump Faces Mounting Pressure as Senators Clash Over August Recess
President Donald Trump is facing mounting pressure from Senate Republicans as they debate a bill to cancel the August recess, with some lawmakers calling for a vote on the SAVE…
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Francesca Hong dominates Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor
Wisconsin Democrats head to the polls on August 11, 2026, to pick their nominee for governor, and State Representative Francesca Hong has emerged as the dominant figure in the…
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Flanagan vs. Craig clash in Minnesota Senate primary
Minnesota Democrats are voting in a Senate primary that has turned into a sharp ideological fight between Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig, a contest widely seen as…
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Paxton and Talarico agree to debate in Texas Senate race
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and Democratic Congressman James Talarico have agreed to debate in the U.S. Senate race for the term beginning in 2027, a fresh development that…
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Nigel Farage faces challenge from Count Binface in Clacton by-election
Nigel Farage's resignation from the Clacton parliamentary seat has set off a by-election, with the self-proclaimed space alien Count Binface emerging as a contender. Traders put…
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Senate control hangs in balance ahead of November elections
The outcome of the 2026 US Senate elections is set to determine which party will control the Senate, with the Republican Party currently favored to retain control, according to…
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Democrats eye rare midterm sweep of Congress with margins razor-thin
Democrats are mounting an increasingly credible push to retake both chambers of Congress in the November 2026 midterms, with multiple outlets now reporting that polling margins…
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Lula solidifies lead ahead of Brazil's presidential election
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has extended his lead over challenger Flavio Bolsonaro in the run-up to the country's presidential election, scheduled for October 4,…
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Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar leads Benjamin Netanyahu in new Channel 12 Knesset poll
As the Israeli election nears, Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party is gaining momentum, according to a new Channel 12 Knesset poll. The poll puts Eizenkot ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu,…
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Minnesota Republicans Choose Gubernatorial Nominee in Primary Election
Lisa Demuth is the clear favorite to win the Republican primary for Governor of Minnesota, with the crowd's probability at 99%. This comes as no surprise, given her strong support…
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Karen Bass Leads Los Angeles Mayoral Race
Karen Bass is positioned as a leading candidate in the upcoming Los Angeles mayoral election, with initial results indicating her advancement to the general election. The…
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RFK Jr. faces Hatch Act probe as 2028 GOP nomination talk persists
A Senate Democrat has requested an investigation into whether Robert F. Kennedy Jr. violated the Hatch Act, according to The Hill, adding a new legal dimension to questions about…
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Byron Donalds Challenges David Jolly in Florida Governor Race
Florida Republican Byron Donalds is challenging Democrat David Jolly in the 2026 governor race, with the Republican Party nomination hanging in the balance. Traders put Byron…
Frequently asked questions
What are the top Politics prediction markets right now?
Francesca Hong poised to clinch Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor (David Crowley 62%); Darline Graham Nordone jumps into South Carolina Senate race (Darline Graham Nordone 74%); United Russia Favored to Gain Most Seats in Russian Parliamentary Election (United Russia (ER) 68%)
What is the crowd pricing in Politics right now?
Kalshi prices this David Crowley at 62%.
Where do Politics prediction markets trade?
Crowdtells tracks Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi — the two largest prediction-market platforms — and briefs each with cross-source reporting. The odds are crowd-implied probabilities, not financial advice.