Topic
Politics
The Politics stories the crowd is watching most. Crowdtells reads 14 live Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi as a signal of what matters, then briefs each one with real, cross-source reporting — what's moving now, and where the odds run ahead of the headlines.
What are people predicting in Politics right now?
The biggest Politics story the crowd is watching is Democrats' Midterm Sweep Chances Rise Amid Geopolitical Tensions — Polymarket prices this Democrats Sweep at 61%. Crowdtells tracks 14 live Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi.
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Democrats' Midterm Sweep Chances Rise Amid Geopolitical Tensions
The likelihood of Democrats achieving a "Democrats Sweep" in the 2026 United States midterm elections, meaning control of both the Senate and House of Representatives, has seen a…
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Trump's Presidency: Will He Serve Full Term?
President Donald Trump continues to maintain a highly visible public profile, attending events like the Presidents Cup 2026 golf tournament and addressing the United Nations…
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Marine Le Pen Leads French Presidential Race
Marine Le Pen has emerged as the front-runner in early polling for France's next presidential election, which is expected to take place around April 2027. Her consistent lead is…
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Romania Weighs New Prime Minister Amid Political Stalemate
Romania is grappling with a significant political stalemate, prompting President Klaus Iohannis to seek a new prime minister to form a stable government. The situation has…
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Talarico Leads Paxton in Tight Texas Senate Race
Democratic Texas Senate candidate James Talarico is currently polling ahead of Republican incumbent Ken Paxton, marking a significant development in the closely watched race for…
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White House Nears 90-Day Diesel Export Ban
The White House is reportedly advancing plans for a 90-day ban on U.S. diesel exports, a move President Trump has publicly considered to combat high domestic fuel prices. Several…
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Trump Directs Federal Agencies to Rename AI "Super Intelligence"
President Donald Trump has directed federal agencies to adopt "super intelligence" as the official designation for artificial intelligence, replacing the current terminology. This…
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South Carolina Senate Race Tightens for Graham Nordone
Senator Darline Graham Nordone (R-S.C.) is in a remarkably tight contest for her U.S. Senate seat against Democratic challenger Annie Andrews, with a recent poll indicating a dead…
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China Overhauls Defense Law Amid Taiwan Tensions
China recently overhauled its National Defense Mobilization Law, the first major revision in 16 years, clarifying military and local authority to expedite a wartime transition.…
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Senate Control Tightens as Midterm Elections Approach
The race for control of the United States Senate in the 2026 midterm elections is reaching a critical juncture, with recent developments suggesting a tightening contest. Senate…
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J.D. Vance Rallies Republicans, Eyes 2028 Presidential Bid
Senator J.D. Vance is intensifying his public appearances and engagements with Republican Party figures, fueling speculation about a potential run for the 2028 U.S. presidential…
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Bulgarian Presidential Election Looms for Iliana Iotova
Bulgaria's political landscape is bracing for its next presidential election, expected in the Fall of 2026, which will be a significant test of Prime Minister Rumen Radev's hold…
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Collins, Jackson in Tight Maine Senate Race
The race for Maine's U.S. Senate seat is drawing significant attention, with recent polls indicating a close contest between incumbent Republican Susan Collins and Democratic…
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Democrats Favored to Win U.S. House Control in 2026
The Democratic Party is currently on a trajectory to outperform earlier forecasts for the 2026 U.S. House elections, with recent surveys indicating a significant lead over…
Frequently asked questions
What are the top Politics prediction markets right now?
Democrats' Midterm Sweep Chances Rise Amid Geopolitical Tensions (Democrats Sweep 61%); Trump's Presidency: Will He Serve Full Term? (96% no); Marine Le Pen Leads French Presidential Race (Marine Le Pen 39%)
What is the crowd pricing in Politics right now?
Polymarket prices this Democrats Sweep at 61%.
Where do Politics prediction markets trade?
Crowdtells tracks Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi — the two largest prediction-market platforms — and briefs each with cross-source reporting. The odds are crowd-implied probabilities, not financial advice.