Topic
Geopolitics
The Geopolitics stories the crowd is watching most. Crowdtells reads 12 live Geopolitics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi as a signal of what matters, then briefs each one with real, cross-source reporting — what's moving now, and where the odds run ahead of the headlines.
What are people predicting in Geopolitics right now?
The biggest Geopolitics story the crowd is watching is Russia Accuses Europe of Blocking Ukraine Peace Talks — Polymarket prices this December 31 at 68%. Crowdtells tracks 12 live Geopolitics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi.
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Russia Accuses Europe of Blocking Ukraine Peace Talks
Russia has accused European nations of actively obstructing peace talks with Ukraine, a claim that comes as the United States seeks to revive ceasefire discussions. Fox News…
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NATO and Russia Face Escalating Military Encounters
Tensions between NATO countries and Russia are escalating, marked by recent military encounters that raise concerns about direct confrontation. Two Italian Eurofighter Typhoons,…
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US-Iran ceasefire holds amid regional tensions
The delicate ceasefire between the United States and Iran remains intact through September 20, as no direct U.S. military actions, such as air or surface-to-surface missile…
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Putin's Party Wins Russian Elections Amid Ukraine War
Russia's ruling party, widely seen as pro-Vladimir Putin, has claimed victory in the country's recent parliamentary elections, a result that solidifies the current political…
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Mojtaba Khamenei: Iran's Next Supreme Leader?
The question of who will de facto lead Iran by the end of 2026 continues to draw international attention, particularly concerning the potential rise of Mojtaba Khamenei. Reports…
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US-Iran Nuclear Deal Faces Skepticism
Prospects for a final nuclear deal between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, appear increasingly dim after US Energy Secretary Chris Wright stated that an agreement…
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Iran Offers Hormuz Reopening for US Blockade End
Iran has put forward a proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within a week, contingent on the United States easing its naval blockade. This development comes after the United…
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Maduro Ally Pleads Guilty Amid Venezuela Protests
A significant development in the political landscape surrounding Venezuela's leadership unfolded recently with Alex Saab, a close associate of Nicolás Maduro, pleading guilty in a…
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US-Iran Diplomacy: New Meeting by Year-End?
Senior diplomatic engagement between the United States and Iran is again in focus, with reports indicating a potential for another high-level meeting by December 31, 2026. This…
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Xi Jinping's Future in Power Amid US-China Tensions
The prospect of Chinese General Secretary Xi Jinping remaining in power through 2026 continues to be a focal point, particularly as key diplomatic engagements loom. Reports…
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US-Iran Tensions Escalate Amid Attack Allegations
The prospect of a U.S. military offensive against Iran before 2027 remains a significant concern, driven by recent accusations of Chinese entities aiding Iran in attacks that…
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Search Intensifies for New Interstellar Visitors
The scientific community is intensifying its efforts to identify and confirm new interstellar visitors before the close of 2026, building on recent insights from comet 3I/ATLAS.…
Frequently asked questions
What are the top Geopolitics prediction markets right now?
Russia Accuses Europe of Blocking Ukraine Peace Talks (December 31 68%); NATO and Russia Face Escalating Military Encounters (December 31 29%); US-Iran ceasefire holds amid regional tensions (September 30 96%)
What is the crowd pricing in Geopolitics right now?
Polymarket prices this December 31 at 68%.
Where do Geopolitics prediction markets trade?
Crowdtells tracks Geopolitics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi — the two largest prediction-market platforms — and briefs each with cross-source reporting. The odds are crowd-implied probabilities, not financial advice.