Topic
Geopolitics
The Geopolitics stories the crowd is watching most. Crowdtells reads 10 live Geopolitics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi as a signal of what matters, then briefs each one with real, cross-source reporting — what's moving now, and where the odds run ahead of the headlines.
What are people predicting in Geopolitics right now?
The biggest Geopolitics story the crowd is watching is US Navy Redirects 55 Vessels Linked to Iran Since July Blockade — Polymarket prices this December 31 at 80%. Crowdtells tracks 10 live Geopolitics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi.
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US Navy Redirects 55 Vessels Linked to Iran Since July Blockade
The US Navy has continued to enforce its blockade of Iranian ships and customers, redirecting 55 vessels linked to Iran since July. This move comes as the US and Iran remain at…
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US, Iran Edge Closer to Hormuz Deal, but Key Demands Remain Unresolved
US and Iranian officials suggest progress in talks to agree a new shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz, but a breakthrough remains unclear. Traders put the August 31…
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Trump signals willingness to extend Iran negotiation period
US President Donald Trump has hinted at a possible extension of the 60-day negotiation period with Iran, contradicting his previous stance on the matter. While the details of the…
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Putin Meets North Korean Foreign Minister Amid Diplomatic Push
Russian President Vladimir Putin's meeting with North Korean Foreign Minister Ri Yong-ho has sparked speculation about Russia's intentions in the region. The meeting comes as…
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Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro to face trial in June 2027
Venezuela's President Nicolás Maduro will face trial in June 2027, a significant development in the country's ongoing political and economic crisis. The trial is set to take place…
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Iran's Mojtaba Khamenei Issues Belligerent Statement Amid Escalating Tensions
Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has issued a belligerent statement accusing President Trump of violating the U.S.-Iran agreement and pledging a strong response by Iran and…
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Trump says decision on massive Iran attack is close
President Donald Trump said this week he is "close" to a decision on what Axios described as a "massive attack" on Iran, thrusting the prospect of direct U.S. military action…
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Bank of Canada faces October rate call as global central banks hold
The Bank of Canada is set to announce its next interest-rate decision on October 28, 2026, with the specific question being whether the central bank maintains its current rate — a…
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Interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS may predate the Sun, scientists say
Scientists studying the interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS say the object may be older than the Sun itself, offering a rare window into material from beyond the solar system. The comet,…
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China Intensifies Taiwan Strait Patrols
Beijing has commenced a new campaign of military patrols in the waters east of Taiwan, deploying two ships to challenge the island's control over these strategically important…
Frequently asked questions
What are the top Geopolitics prediction markets right now?
US Navy Redirects 55 Vessels Linked to Iran Since July Blockade (December 31 80%); US, Iran Edge Closer to Hormuz Deal, but Key Demands Remain Unresolved (August 31 24%); Trump signals willingness to extend Iran negotiation period (73% no)
What is the crowd pricing in Geopolitics right now?
Polymarket prices this December 31 at 80%.
Where do Geopolitics prediction markets trade?
Crowdtells tracks Geopolitics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi — the two largest prediction-market platforms — and briefs each with cross-source reporting. The odds are crowd-implied probabilities, not financial advice.