Topic

U.S. x Iran

Crowdtells tracks 2 live U.S. x Iran markets on Polymarket and Kalshi, ranked by how much money is behind them and how fast they're moving. Below: what the crowd is pricing right now, the latest swings, and where the odds run ahead of the headlines.

• US and Iran to sign diplomatic agreement on June 19

  June 17, 2026·Polymarket·June 30 43%·8 sources

  The United States and Iran are scheduled to physically sign a written diplomatic agreement on Friday, June 19, following a joint announcement on June 14 that the two sides have…

• Trump set to sign US‑Iran peace pact amid timing disputes

  June 17, 2026·Polymarket·95% yes·8 sources

  President Donald Trump is scheduled to physically sign the U.S.–Iran diplomatic agreement on June 19, a ceremony that could end the decade‑long conflict over the Strait of Hormuz.…